The Plan!
Things seem more clear now. Watching the news (unfortunately, you have to watch 3 or 4 Lebanese channels, each has its own agenda, to get an idea about what the heck is going on) I think the plan is pretty much as follows.
The opposition's rally, and March 14th supporting rallies will continue till the president return the tribunal decision back to the government (obviously he will not sign it). The current government will meet again to agree on sending the decision to the parliament regardless of the president signing. Then Berri is expected to call for a parliament session. At this point, the government would resign, and a new 30-member government would be made; 19 for March 14th, 10 for March 10th and ONE neutral member. This government formation could be delayed till Berri hold a parliament session so that March 14th can be sure that the tribunal would be finally official.
The new government will have two main objectives: Electing a new president (sources predict that would happen in next February), and preparing for a new parliament elections.
The sad thing is that if this is the plan for real, then all of these clashes and rallies that are taking place now can be considered "meaningless and useless"; just a stupid actions taken by BOTH sides for nothing more than to demanding a better negotiating terms.
But the question remains, how would the rising tension in the streets be controlled? Do the political leaders realize that they took the people near the point of no return? And how can they be sure that things won't get out of control before the plan farther steps are reached?
I'd be lying if I said that I'm NOT disgusted of the whole situation. But we have reached a stage where we are ready to accept any deal that would bring peace and stability back to the country, because we want to live and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the holidays season. Is that something too much to ask for?
Posted by
FaiLaSooF
6 comments:
Is that something too much to ask for?
Yes. As long as we go along with our so-called leaders.
BTW There's absolutely no reason for demos in the street in the current environment, at least demos lasting more than half a day. This is "mobocracy", where the hell is the parliament?
The bottom line is the opposition will try to delay if not eliminate the tribunal! The tribunal is the only way to tell people that you will pay for your action! Hopefully the assassination will slow down if not stopped!
" But we have reached a stage where we are ready to accept any deal that would bring peace and stability back to the country"
Are you really ready to accept any deal? if this will be the case, I am happy i am getting another nationality soon..
" But we have reached a stage where we are ready to accept any deal that would bring peace and stability back to the country"
I said that, but in a context. Some how the adjusted 19-9-2 government seems to be a good solution out of this conflict. No major dicisions can be taken without BOTH sides agreement, and the opposition can't force the government to resign....
The problem is, and we have to admit it, Iran doesn't want stability in Liban, and that is forcing the opposition to refuse any kind of "reasonable" settlement. Not to mention that 9 ministers for opposition would politically kill Aoun, who will have to accept being represented by no more than 3 ministers in best scenarios. I wonder how would he accept such an agreemen. But at the same time, he knows that he can't fly away from the Shiites' orbit now......
Well the oppostion rejected the new plan... what now? we won't be reaching any solution soon... as long as the tribunal is an issue. The opposition and mainly Hizballa would do anything to postpone or even cancel the tribunal; I am really worried about what might happen next.
dont you mean, 19 March 14, 9 March 8, and 2 neutral?
otherwise, they'd still have the blocking third...
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